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Aug 19 2013

Tesla : Preamble in tunnel vision

The rosy fingers of a Saturday dawn are welcomed, late September, 2008, after the six mile drive and 2500 foot climb up the winding road of Rancho Carrillo. Named for Leo Carrillo, the Cisco Kid’s mischievious sidekick, Pancho, the ranch is an idyllic mountaintop respite from the urban torture of Orange County.

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The event, a popular cars & coffee excuse for the sybaritic motor culture in southern California, attracts a hundred vehicles of every ilk; none of which are routine, pedestrian, nor inexpensive.  The morning feature is a prototype electric sports car, the Tesla, rather sexy looking, attached to a 220 volt charging station that resembles the yacht cable on a marina pier or the type for a monster motorhome.  8007568972_d4077a73cf_cThree members of the Tesla team explain the virtue of electric cars, a century-old concept, now invigorated with advanced technology. Below, antiquated technology.

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DSCN1891The infectious enthusiasm of one, Elon Musk, a 37 y/o South African with the clipped accent of Ernie Els, is intoxicating.  Apparently now, my 190SL companions tell me, a billionaire from the sale of his popular credit card scheme, PayPal®, an unlikely visionary sipping on dark roasted Starbucks® morning blend. Referencing a possible IPO for the company in a year or two, he is impressive, yet I see only the failed ghosts of Preston Tucker, John DeLorean, Edsel Ford, and Malcolm Bricklin.

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By 9:30 AM, a local horse show commences, a gorgeous array from 4 years old to 40 years old, and the horses aren’t bad looking either.  We begin the invigorating downhill run, top down, on the legendary “zoom-zoom” road made famous in Mazda Miata commercials.  I’m smug, smiling, contemplating how laughable and foolish a stock offering would be for an unproved, limited production, six figure sports car.  Even as a dedicated gearhead, I could not, would not, embrace the fantasy. DSCN1903

 

On June 29, 2010, the stock, symbol TSLA, opened at $19.00/share.

On Friday, August 16, 2013, it closed at $142.00/ share.

The horses weren’t the only ones with blinders on that California hilltop.

 

©insightout2013

 

 

 

Written by InsightOut · Categorized: events, musings, on the road

Comments

  1. Bill D. says

    August 19, 2013 at 3:22 pm

    Per CNBC, Monday, 19 Aug 2013:

    “The young and rich snapping up Tesla’s Model S”:

    http://www.cnbc.com/id/100970641

  2. Bill D. says

    August 21, 2013 at 7:10 am

    Per MSNBC’s Lawrence O’Donnell on last night’s “The Last Word” segment, Tesla, the 2013 Car of the Year, deserves the ‘free flow of commerce’:

    http://www.nbcnews.com/id/45755883/ns/msnbc-the_last_word/vp/52806422/#52806422

    • insightout says

      August 21, 2013 at 9:30 am

      Prompts the math/investment question;

      Tesla Model “S” Invoice MSRP
      Base Price N/A $59,900
      Destination $1,170
      Total Base Price $61,070
      Avg. state sales tax $4,230

      So you charge up and drive off for $65,300. At the current TSLA stock price,~ $150/sh, you could instead buy 435 shares in the company. Fast forward, say, five years to 2018, which would have greater value ?

      The shares, or, the joy of maintenance-free ownership of a fully depreciated, safe, and non-petroleum dependent used car ?

      Tough question for the young and the rich. You can’t pick up eco-friendly girls and drive your 435 shares to Starbucks.

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